ForexVue

Bollinger Bands

Technical Indicators

A volatility indicator consisting of three lines: a middle simple moving average (typically 20-period) and upper and lower bands set at 2 standard deviations above and below it. The bands expand during high volatility and contract during low volatility.

What Are Bollinger Bands?

Developed by John Bollinger, this indicator wraps a price channel around a 20-period Simple Moving Average. The upper band sits 2 standard deviations above the SMA and the lower band sits 2 standard deviations below. Since standard deviation measures Volatility, the bands automatically widen when the market is volatile and narrow when it is calm. About 95% of price action falls within the bands under normal conditions.

Key Bollinger Band Signals

The "squeeze" is the most anticipated signal: when the bands contract to an unusually narrow width, it indicates low volatility, which typically precedes a significant breakout in either direction. Watch for the squeeze on EUR/USD or GBP/USD before major news events. Band walks occur during strong trends when price hugs the upper band (bullish) or lower band (bearish) for extended periods. Touching the outer band alone is not a buy or sell signal; it is context-dependent.

Key fact: A common mistake is treating Bollinger Band touches as automatic reversal signals. In trending markets, price can ride the upper or lower band for dozens of candles. Only use band touches as reversal signals when the market is range-bound, confirmed by a flat middle band.

Bollinger Bands with Other Indicators

Combine Bollinger Bands with RSI (Relative Strength Index) for a powerful system: when price touches the lower band AND RSI is below 30, the oversold signal is stronger than either indicator alone. The bandwidth (upper band minus lower band divided by middle band) provides a numeric measure of the squeeze. Compare bandwidth to its own Moving Average to identify when a squeeze is historically tight and likely to produce a breakout.